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Old 04-22-2008, 12:06 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default What's your prediction for Pennsylvania?

I don't believe the polls and think Obama will beat Hillary. Not that it matters anyway. She would have to win almost the whole thing to pull ahead of him. But if he wins she should give it up.

Time to prepare for Grampy.
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Old 04-22-2008, 12:23 AM   #2 (permalink)
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I would like to think Obama can beat Hillary in Pennsylvania and drive a stake through her campaign's miserable heart, but I don't think it will happen. She will win by between 3% and 8%. It won't be a blowout, but it will be just enough for her to keep tearing at his flesh. She will make a grand pickup of 10 or fewer pledged delegates, so it won't to her much good overall, but it will make John McCain and the fat flaccid fascist Limbaugh very happy.
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Old 04-22-2008, 12:32 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trash View Post
I don't believe the polls and think Obama will beat Hillary. Not that it matters anyway. She would have to win almost the whole thing to pull ahead of him. But if he wins she should give it up.

Time to prepare for Grampy.
I think Obama "wins" with anything more than 46%. I mean he's erased what was something like a 22 point deficit, hasn't he?

I think Hillary will soldier on with 52%. She'll call it a major upset or something. One thing's for sure. It's getting really, really, REALLY ugly with the personal shit between those two.

Everyone thinks McCain has this thing damn near locked up but whoever the Democrat nominee is, he or she hasn't even started really running against him yet. He's so vulnerable it's not even funny. The guy's a hero alright, but he's also a fossil. He's not firing on all eight cylinders and it's going to show up on the general.

Most of all, people are absolutely sick of Republican rule. Even Republicans.
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Old 04-22-2008, 06:16 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Clinton by 6%.

I think the media is playing up the race this fall because it helps ratings. McCain was a good candidate---8 years ago when he was an old man.

Now, he's freakin' ancient and isn't the prime example of senior citizen fitness. After the conventions, He's gonna start dropping in the head to head comparisons by 5% chunks at a time.
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Old 04-22-2008, 08:39 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Hillary will win... too many gun owners in PA, lol
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Old 04-22-2008, 08:41 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Obama by 10%.

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Old 04-22-2008, 08:46 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Obama by 10%.

~mikeym
Hope you're right.

Isn't there a big tractor dealership there in Kutztown?
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Old 04-22-2008, 08:55 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Hope you're right.
Huge +1. I'd like to see this thing put to bed. Must be a hell of a job if poeple campaign for it for 2 years. (Only in America. It's nuts.)
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Old 04-22-2008, 09:00 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Hope you're right.

Isn't there a big tractor dealership there in Kutztown?
Nah not any more...



Kutztowns working on becoming more urban slowly... our crime rates are slowly increasing...
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Old 04-22-2008, 09:49 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Williamsport is an Obama asylum. I think the surrounding podunk will make up for it with Clinton votes.

I think Clinton will take Pittsburgh, Obama will take Philly. The Alabama in between won't matter much, they're all McCain/Paul supporters.
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Old 04-22-2008, 10:33 AM   #11 (permalink)
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Doesn't matter if Obama wins, because Clinton has more SUPER-delegates! Yay, they're SUPER!

edit: Sorry, I'm SUPER-bitter about the whole thing!
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Old 04-22-2008, 11:09 AM   #12 (permalink)
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According to today's WAPO, Hillary's campaign has more debt than money. All of her major advisors are in the red from the campaign. That'll be what ends it. Without a big blowout in Pennsylvania, money will continue to dry up.

I can't say who will win, but my gut tells me it'll be a 1-2 point squeaker. By way of disclaimer though, I should admit that I never thought that scumball Reagan would win a second term. I don't really have such a great record as a prognosticator.
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Old 04-22-2008, 11:32 AM   #13 (permalink)
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I think Hilldog is going to win, but at a very small margin.

So the primary will continue to drag on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on and on
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Old 04-22-2008, 11:41 AM   #14 (permalink)
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Are we there yet?
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Old 04-22-2008, 11:48 AM   #15 (permalink)
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Williamsport is an Obama asylum. I think the surrounding podunk will make up for it with Clinton votes.

I think Clinton will take Pittsburgh, Obama will take Philly. The Alabama in between won't matter much, they're all McCain/Paul supporters.


Hillary, but by under 10%. Like many, I hope Obama wins and puts an end to it.
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